Wildcard Watch – Texans Rising as Underdog Value in AFC
It’s easy to pick favorites when you’re perusing our NFL betting lines with the AFC. Pittsburgh has already been tagged by yours truly to repeat, and the return of Tom Brady has launched the Patriots in to the mix as well. The fun part is searching for gangbuster value in the futures, because a simple $100 bet can reap you big rewards come January.
So that being said, which two teams have your greatest Wildcard Value heading in to the 2009-10 season? You may be surprised by my picks, but that’s the fun in a wildcard watch. Betting men are all about taking chances, and these two teams are the ones to watch in terms of risk/reward.
AFC Furious Underdog – Houston Texans
To Win Division: +325
To Win AFC: +1800
To Win Superbowl XLIV: +4000
Why To Bet: The AFC South is falling apart at the seems. Tennessee lost the most integral part of their defense (Haynesworth) and there’s no telling just how effective Kerry Collins will be given the Vince Young drama. Indianapolis is getting ravaged by injuries and is losing its consistency. The Jaguars suck.
The Texans are the best “on paper” team if Matt Schaub and Andre Johnson can stay fully healthy for 16 games. With the rise of Mario Williams and the Texans defense, which has improved statistically every year, Houston is a logical underdog bet.
Why Not To Bet: Given the value to win the division, the Texans are my favorite underdog pick in the AFC. To say they will romp and stomp the AFC is a bit ludicrous, especially with the Steelers standing in their way, and a lack of playoff experience overshadowing any hype I could possibly generate. But hey, they call it “gambling” for a reason, right?
Verdict: Escaping out of the crumbling AFC South is the easy part for a Texans teams that could take the league by storm. Getting out of the AFC in its entirety is a whole different story. But if I could be $325 richer with a bet on the Texans now, then that’s a bet I’m willing to take.